EXHIBIT 99.1
Mel Karmazin
Merrill Lynch Media Fall Preview
Conference
September 9, 2008
1
2
Approximately 70 Commercial-free Music Channels
Pop, Rock, Dance, Hip-hop, R&B, Country, Christian, Jazz/Blues, Standards, Classical Latin/Intl, Exclusive content, Live Music, Music Neighborhoods
Over 65 news, sports, entertainment, international, weather and traffic channels
Play-by-Play Sports action from over 150 Colleges, Sports Talk Channels
NFL, MLB, NASCAR, NHL, PGA Tour and IndyCar
Compelling and Exclusive content such as: Howard Stern, Bob Edwards, Oprah, Martha Stewart Radio, Playboy Radio, Blue Collar Comedy, Cosmo Radio, The Catholic Channel, The Metropolitan Opera Channel, Dr. Radio, The Mad Dog Sports Show
SIRIUS XMs unmatched programming
Source: Company filings
Ending SIRIUS XM subs (millions)
Over 18.5 million subscribers and growing
3
0.6
0.8
1.1
1.6
2.0
2.6
3.2
4.4
5.2
6.2
7.2
9.3
10.6
11.6
12.3
13.7
14.5
15.4
16.2
17.4
18.0
18.6
Q1
Q1
Q1
Q1
Q1
Q1
Q2
Q2
Q2
Q2
Q2
Q2
Q3
Q3
Q3
Q3
Q3
Q4
Q4
Q4
Q4
Q4
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
Scale creates greater operating leverage
3.3
5.6
13.2
13.8
17.2
18.6
24.6
Comcast
SIRIUS XM
DirecTV
Dish Network
Time Warner
Cable
Charter
Cablevision
Source: Company filings
Ranks among largest U.S. subscription media businesses
Total subscribers as of 2Q08 (millions)
4
Illustrative combined OEM penetration as a percentage of U.S. auto sales
Source: Global Insight estimate as of June 2008 and company filings. Actual 2008 and 2009 numbers may differ materially.
Penetration gains at every major automaker
Penetration gains expected to continue to drive net subscriber additions
50%+
45%
15%
22%
33%
2005A
2006A
2007A
2008E
2009E
Penetration Rate of U.S. Auto Sales
5
14.0
14.0
17.0
16.6
16.2
2.6
3.6
5.3
5.9
6.0+
2005A
2006A
2007A
2008E
2009E
New cars
OEM Gross adds
Combined approximate OEM sales and gross additions (millions)
Source: Actual 2008 and 2009 numbers may differ materially. Historical figures from Global Insight; 2008 and 2009 estimates are based on industry research and is provided to show directional trends.
Drives OEM growth despite a tough auto sales environment
Despite the slowdown in new car sales, OEM gross adds are expected to rise in 2008 and 2009
6
Faster growth than other subscription media
-3%
5%
7%
8%
9%
10%
13%
PF Sirius/XM
DirecTV
Cablevision
Time Warner
Cable
Comcast
Dish Network
Radio
Industry
Source: Company, Merrill Lynch or Consensus Estimates
And among the fastest growing U.S. media businesses
2009E Revenue Growth
7
9.3
13.7
17.4
19.5
21.5
2005
2006
2007
2008E
2009E
Strong subscriber growth
Subscriber Guidance: Approximately 19.5 mm in 2008 and 21.5 mm in 2009
Source: Company filings and estimates.
8
Drives revenue growth
$0.8
$1.6
$2.1
$2.4
$2.7
Revenue Guidance: Approximately $2.4 b in 2008 and $2.7 b in 2009
2005
2006
2007
2008E
2009E
Source: Company filings and estimates.
9
10
Synergies: Approx. $425 mm in 2009 and growing
Expected approximate 2009 synergies:
Satellite & Transmission: $20 mm
Terrestrial repeater co-locations and new leases,
headcount, and maintenance reductions
Programming: $60 mm
Management headcount, consolidation of music / talk
channels, improved production and operations
Customer Service & Billing: $20 mm
Improved agent / telco expense, headcount, billing and
operations
Synergies expected to grow in 2010 and beyond
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Synergies: Approx. $425 mm in 2009 and growing
Expected approximate 2009 synergies (continued):
Sales & Marketing: $150 mm
Rationalization of consumer marketing spend, executive
management, consolidation of retail / OEM sales teams
SAC: $50 mm
Improved chipset and hardware costs, lower commissions
General & Administrative: $50 mm
Executive and other headcount reduction, insurance
savings, finance and legal savings
Synergies expected to grow in 2010 and beyond
12
Synergies: Approx. $425 mm in 2009 and growing
Expected approximate 2009 synergies (continued):
Research & Development: $25 mm
Consolidation of aftermarket products, lower outside
services costs, reduced headcount
Revenue Synergies: $40 mm
Improved retention, ad sales efficiencies, ARPU efficiencies
Capital Expenditures: $10 mm
Lower facilities build, terrestrial repeater savings, and IT
build
Synergies expected to grow in 2010 and beyond
13
2009E cash OpEx approximately 8% below PF 2007 levels, despite 31% growth in revenue
Source: Company filings and estimates. Note, cash operating expenses excludes depreciation and amortization and stock compensation expenses. Adjusted EBITDA is net income / (loss)
before interest and investment income, interest expense (net of amounts capitalized), depreciation expense, and non-cash stock compensation expense.
Operating expenses benefit from synergies and continued
cost controls
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: PF approximately ($350) mm in 2008 and approximately $300 mm in 2009
$2.7
($0.5)
($0.4)
$2.1
$2.4
$2.6
$2.7
$2.4
$0.3
PF 2007A
PF 2008E
2009E
Revenue
Cash Operating Expenses (in $ billions)
Adj. EBITDA
14
2009 maturities and refinancing
February 2009 -- $300 mm SIRIUS Convert
Exploring debt options and will act opportunistically
May 2009 -- $350 mm XM Bank Debt
Expect to extend maturities
December 2009 -- $400 mm XM Convert
Exploring options; will be refinanced following a year of
solid integration execution
15
New price plans to drive subscriber revenue growth
Best of SIRIUS/XM upgrade to launch October 6
$4 premium upgrade to be marketed to over 18 million existing subscribers
Expected to improve self-pay churn and OEM conversion rates
Best of SIRIUS on XM to include:
Howard 100, Howard 101, Martha Stewart Living Radio, SIRIUS NFL
Radio*, SIRIUS NASCAR Radio*, Playboy Radio
Best of XM on SIRIUS to include:
Oprah & Friends, NHL Home Ice*, The Virus, Public Radio featuring
Bob Edwards, The PGA Tour Network
A La Carte radios in stores and serviced launches October 6
Lower price options to retain more price sensitive subscribers
* Sports offerings on Best of Both will also include channels for play-by-play of NHL and NFL games and NASCAR races.
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SIRIUS XM Summary Highlights
Best programming expected to drive subscriber and revenue growth
Enhanced scale and competitive position
Opportunity to reduce churn; improve conversion rate
Increased advertising reach
Continued improvement in subscriber economics
Improved financial performance through realization of significant cost synergies
Accelerated EBITDA and free cash flow generation
Highly experienced management team with proven leadership
Significant value creation for all stakeholders
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Disclaimer on forward-looking statements
The guidance contained herein are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates that, while considered reasonable by us when taken as a whole,
are inherently subject to significant business, economic
and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond our control. In
addition, the guidance is based upon specific assumptions with respect to future business conditions, some or all of which will change. The guidance, like
any forecast, is necessarily speculative in nature and it can be expected that the assumptions upon which the guidance is based will not prove to be valid
or will vary from actual results. Actual results will vary from the guidance and the variations
may be material. Consequently, the guidance should not
be regarded as a representation by us or any other person that the subscribers, synergies, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA will actually be achieved. You
are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on this information.
This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Such statements
include, but are not limited to, statements about the benefits of the business combination transaction involving SIRIUS and XM, including potential
synergies and cost savings and the timing thereof, future financial and operating results,
the combined companys plans, objectives, expectations and
intentions with respect to future operations, products and services; and other statements identified by words such as anticipate, believe, plan,
estimate,
expect, intend, will, should, may, or words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements are based upon the current
beliefs and expectations of SIRIUS and XMs management
and are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and
contingencies, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of SIRIUS and XM. Actual results may differ materially from the
results
anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in the
forward-looking statement: general business and economic
conditions; the performance of financial markets and interest rates; the ability to obtain
governmental approvals of the transaction on a timely basis; the failure to realize synergies and cost-savings from the transaction or delay in realization
thereof;
the businesses of SIRIUS and XM may not be combined successfully, or such combination may take longer, be more difficult, time-consuming or
costly to accomplish than expected; and operating costs and business disruption following the merger, including adverse
effects on employee retention
and on our business relationships with third parties, including manufacturers of radios, retailers, automakers and programming providers. Additional
factors that could cause SIRIUS and XMs results to differ
materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in SIRIUS and
XMs Annual Reports on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and their respective Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June
30, 2008, which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) and available at the SECs Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). The
information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and SIRIUS and XM disclaim any intention or obligation to update any forward looking
statements
as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.
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Reconciliation of non-GAAP financial metrics
This presentation and accompanying press release includes the following non-GAAP financial measures: cash operating expenses and adjusted EBITDA.
SIRIUS XM defines cash operating expenses
as total operating expenses less depreciation and amortization and stock-based compensation. SIRIUS XM
defines Adjusted EBITDA as net income / (loss) plus depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, other expense, and income tax
expense.
Figures are in thousands of dollars.
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA
2007
PF Combined
Net loss
(1,467,329)
Depreciation and amortization
447,658
Stock-based compensation
165,099
Other expense
313,639
Income tax expense
1,496
Adjusted EBITDA
(539,437)
Reconciliation of Cash Operating Expenses
2007
PF Combined
Total operating expenses
3,210,802
Depreciation and amortization
(447,658)
Stock-based compensation
(165,099)
Cash operating expenses
2,598,045